How Cognitive Biases Undermine Rational Decision Making
Cognitive biases that are hardwired into us as survival and coping mechanisms. Why is this?
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Tactical Optimism
What "tactical optimism" means to us.
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Hyperbolic Discounting and the Psychology of Being Prepared
Yet another cognitive bias that leads to flawed decision-making.
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Why You Should Believe Hurricane Forecasters
We’re not the only ones fighting the good fight to try to get people to heed emergency warnings.
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A Mind Game - What Does This Say About How We Asses Risk?
Here's something that seems like a simple exercise. Can you solve it?
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Burn. Rebuild. Burn. Mother Jones Probes This Insanity
Burn. Build. Repeat: Why Our Wildfire Policy Is So Deadly.
<Read More>Experience is Not Always a Good Teacher - Consider this Hurricane Katrina Story
The same hurricane, but a changed world. The impact of Katrina versus Camille.
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The American Preparedness Project: Columbia University
The National Center for Disaster Preparedness is part of Columbia University's Earth Institute. Their report, AMERICAN PREPAREDNESS PROJECT: Where the US Public Stands in 2015 is not encouraging but potentially very helpful.
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Changing the Messaging of Preparedness
A new report by FEMA's Higher Education Program, "We've Failed Miserably at Preparedness" explains the distressing results of a 20 year study.
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The Ostrich Effect - How it Leads to Preparedness Avoidance
The technical term is "information aversion". In the financial world it's known as "the ostrich effect".
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Normalcy Bias - Do You Suffer From It?
Normalcy Bias is the belief that if something hasn't occurred, it won't occur.
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Decision-making: System 1 vs System 2
How we think and make decisions can have a profound impact on how we fare in an emergency. Daniel Kahneman, a Nobel Prize winner psychologist, explores how we make decisions in his book, Thinking, Fast and Slow.
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